Trading between enemies is a bad idea
Hua Bin • April 27, 2025 • 800 Words
The current Sino-US relationship is not sustainable in the long run. The US won’t give up its global hegemony. China won’t give up developing its economy and national power. US hostility is open and palpable. China is defiant and confident. There is no way to square a peg in the round role here. A Plaza...
Read MoreHua Bin • April 23, 2025 • 1,100 Words
Regardless what we think of Trump’s tariff war, the trade imbalance between China and the US is indeed substantial and unsustainable in the long term. In typical Trump fashion, when he talks about trade, he chooses to cherry pick and talk only about the merchandise trade where the US runs a trillion dollar trade deficit...
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Interview with Hua Bin
Question 1---What are Trump's tariffs on China supposed to achieve, and will they succeed? Hua Bin--- I don't think Trump has a clear idea himself because many of the supposed goals are contradictory and historically he is a shoot-from-the-hip type guy - no deep thinking, always swinging, and never ashamed of his own blatant lies....
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China has operationalized the world’s first thorium nuclear reactor
Hua Bin • April 19, 2025 • 1,000 Words
As the world is spellbound by the zigzagging tariff war drama launched by reality TV star Donnie Trump and people marvel at the sheer destructiveness of a stupid mad man, a truly momentous event just happened in China. In early April, Chinese scientists achieved a milestone in clean energy technology by successfully adding fresh fuel...
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King Trump is the emperor with no clothes
Hua Bin • April 14, 2025 • 2,200 Words
When I wrote my last essay China’s Strategy to Defeat US by Bankrupting It ( just before Trump’s “liberation day”, I thought I would do a follow up in a month’s time after the dust settles down a little. Things have moved along the trajectory as predicted but at a much faster pace than I...
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Hua Bin • April 1, 2025 • 500 Words
As Trump rolls out his tariffs on the world on “liberation day”, China watches with glee. It doesn't happen everyday when one's adversary blows his head off in front of you on his own initiative. Talk about never interrupt your enemy when he is making the mother of all mistakes… The inevitable result of Trump's...
Read MoreA prominent Jewish futurist talks about Jewish future
Hua Bin • March 24, 2025 • 1,200 Words
Max Singer was a Jewish co-founder of Hudson Institute and a self-styled futurist. Hudson Institute is a right wing think tank originating from Rand Corporation “with a unique future-oriented perspective” (according to their marketing material). Singer’s better known co-founder was a Herman Khan, fellow Jew and the most celebrated nuclear strategist of his day, who...
Read MoreChina’s AI strategy is the same with every industry – winning by changing its economics
Hua Bin • March 22, 2025 • 900 Words
Since I published the three-part essays on key trends of China’s AI development, I have met with a few VCs heavily involved in AI investment in the country. From the conversations, an outline of Chinese AI companies’ strategy became clear and it dovetailed into my predictions. In short, AI players in China intend to succeed...
Read MoreThe religious source of Israel's repeated violations of the ceasefire with Hamas
Hua Bin • March 20, 2025 • 800 Words
After two months of fake ceasefire in Gaza, Israel put an end to it by launching massive new attacks on the Palestinians. Even during the two months, Israel never fully ceased its ethnic cleansing and incurred numerous ceasefire violations. Such behavior is consistent with a long pattern of Jewish failures to honor Arab-Israeli peace treaties,...
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Hua Bin • March 18, 2025 • 1,500 Words
The 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to Daron Acemoglu, James Robinson, and Simon Johnson for their work on the economic and political factors that determine why some nations achieve wealth and stability while others fall into poverty and chaos. Acemoglu and Robinson published their work in a book titled "Why Nations Fail: The...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 15, 2025 • 1,700 Words
A Substack reader sent me a link to a book titled Opium Lords – Israel, Golden Triangle, and the Kennedy Assassination. It was written by a Salvador Astucia. I have some familiarity with the subject matters from years of reading Peter Dale Scott, Alfred McCoy, James Douglas, Gary Webb, and Michael Collins Piper. So, I...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 14, 2025 • 1,400 Words
I discussed that embodied AI, vertical AI applications across industries, and mass adoption of low-cost AI are the main trends coming out of China in the coming 2 or 3 years. The underlying assumption of my forecast is China will have the capability to lead the AI development despite US attempt at holding back its...
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Part 2 of three
Hua Bin • March 12, 2025 • 2,300 Words
In earlier section, I discussed that embodied AI, i.e. robots and humanoid, will be among the next big AI moves out of China. I believe another major trend will be application of AI technologies in vertical industries that have yet to be affected by the horizontal foundational LLMs, let alone experiencing broad adoption of AI...
Read MorePart one of three
Hua Bin • March 12, 2025 • 1,200 Words
The ripple effects of DeepSeek’s launch of its V3 and R1 models in late January is still being felt. Compared with the expensively developed LLMs from OpenAI, Meta, and Google, DeepSeek is cost efficient, high performance, and open source. Other tech giants and AI startups in China have also rolled out additional LLM and reasoning...
Read MoreThe foundation for Chinese technology leadership
Hua Bin • March 10, 2025 • 900 Words
DeepSeek has caused quite a stir in the AI field in the last few weeks. Unitree’s humanoid robots are showing some incredible feats in embodied intelligence. Two 6th generation stealth fighter prototypes were unveiled in December. Naturally many people have identified these as demonstrating China is rapidly catching up and surpassing the west in the...
Read MoreThe famous professor is merely a restrained neocon
Hua Bin • March 8, 2025 • 2,300 Words
In the last few years, Professor John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago has become an alternative media celebrity for advocating contrarian views over Russian’s invasion of Ukraine and Israeli genocide in Palestine. Professor Mearsheimer is a world-renowned political scientist and IR scholar. He has written many impactful books – The Tragedy of Great Power...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 5, 2025 • 200 Words
Trump called the Zelensky episode “good TV”. He was right - it doesn’t happen every day you hear honest words and see real emotions in these oval office photo ops. But I find the Starmer visit, preceding Zelensky, the true spectacle. You see Starmer reach into his suit, with fawning smile on his face, and...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 3, 2025 • 900 Words
Just weeks into his second term, Trump has generated an avalanche of global headlines from his clash with Zelensky, tariff wars against all, talk of annexation of Canada and Greenland, and many more. One little but telling episode went barely noticed and commented by the mainstream media. Trump posted a 33-second AI video on his...
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Hua Bin explains "The China Phenomenon"
This essay is the second installment of my interview with Mike Whitney published on Unz Review. This is quite lengthy as I was trying to cover many grounds in Mike’s expansive question about the underlying forces for China’s resurgence. Here's the question: China's Revival in the Context of its History The west likes to talk...
Read MoreMike Whitney Interview with Hua Bin
Hua Bin • February 27, 2025 • 100 Words
I had an interview with reporter Mike Whitney recently and Mike’s article was published on Unz Review, which published my Substack articles as a columnist. I thought it was interesting for my Substack readers on a range of topics from western media report on China, US China technology comparison, Trump, the so-called Uyghurs “genocide” in...
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Mike Whitney Interview with Hua Bin
1-- How do you explain the relentless anti-China bias in western media? Hua Bin-- I used to read the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and the Economist almost daily for 20 years. Their coverage of China was always off the mark, in not downright misleading, for someone who live and work in...
Read MoreHua Bin • February 23, 2025 • 1,100 Words
Trump is a hurry to close out the Ukraine proxy war. The biggest reason is that he wants to fully pivot to China and the Ukraine war is a distraction. In his recent interview with Tucker Carlson, Trump was blunt – “one of the most stupid things by the Biden administration was to unite Russia...
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ChatGPT is more honest than New York Times
Hua Bin • February 22, 2025 • 3,400 Words
Two historical events have mesmerized me since 2017 – JFK assassination and 911 attacks. I have read numerous books, visited hundreds of websites, and watched untold numbers of videos on Rumble and YouTube. I have read two dozen books on 911 alone from David Ray Griffin, Kevin Ryan, Webster Griffin Tarpley, Mark Gaffney, Chris Bollyn,...
Read MoreHua Bin • February 19, 2025 • 900 Words
The last week saw Europe very publicly humiliated by the US – Vance lectured them that Europe’s biggest enemy is not Russia, but the anti-democratic European governments; Hegseth told them to take care of their own defence rather than counting on US largess; Trump made it clear Europe is not welcome at the negotiation table...
Read MoreQuoting Jim Garrison, District Attorney for New Orleans, who put local businessman Clay Bertrand on trial in connection...
Hua Bin • February 18, 2025 • 500 Words
I just finished reading The War on Freedom by Nafeez Mosaddeq Ahmed and was deeply impressed by a quote in the book from Jim Garrison, who was played by Kevin Costner in the profoundly impactful Oliver Stone movie JFK. I thought it’s worth quoting word by word: “What worries me deeply, and I have seen...
Read MoreHua Bin • February 18, 2025 • 400 Words
Exactly a month into the Trump presidency, he is perfectly following Steven Bannon’s “momentum, momentum and more momentum” strategy of flooding the news wire with executive orders and diplomatic moves. And the liberal media in the US is in a state of constant frenzy. Opinion pieces and op-eds are filled with one alarming analysis after...
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The perfect case study how the west underestimates China at its own peril
Hua Bin • February 17, 2025 • 3,700 Words
I have written about the western misconceptions about Chinese economy and innovation capacity. And how such confused perception of realities will eventually lead it to a disastrous confrontation with China. As discredited frauds like Gordan Chang and Peter Zaihan continue to have an eager audience in the west, a vicious cycle of self-delusion and disinformation...
Read MoreIt's not a typo for democracy. It means the opposite of meritocracy.
Hua Bin • February 11, 2025 • 700 Words
I have been confused about the state of affairs in the west. One central confusion is why smart people believe and do obviously stupid things. I am not talking about Trump. He is not a smart person. He is the polar opposite of the self-claimed “stable genius”. But many bureaucrats in Washington and other western...
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A follow up to "the US is reeking the smell of fear"
Hua Bin • February 10, 2025 • 2,600 Words
I recently published a short opinion piece titled “the US is reeking the smell of fear” on Substack and Unz Review. I received many comments and feedback. Most comments are positive and many readers shared thoughtful observations. Predictably, some trolls, loonies and racist crazies climb out from under the rock and started to make the...
Read MoreHua Bin • February 10, 2025 • 600 Words
Trump just imposed additional tariffs on China. He seems to be acting with impunity. Can China do something to Trump where it hurts? I think the Chinese Communist Party certainly can. Let’s take off the gloves and have some fun. Here is my suggestion – CCP should go after Trump’s sugar daddies and mommy to...
Read MoreThe 2024 Nature Index Research Institution Ranking
Hua Bin • February 9, 2025 • 500 Words
It’s a widely held truism that the US has the best universities in the world despite a mediocre secondary education system. Harvard, Stanford, MIT, Yale and U Penn are marque brands that are admired worldwide. They attract students from every country and enjoy enormous financial resources from tuitions, endowments, and grants. On the other hand,...
Read MoreThe Amazing Pace of Chinese Mil-tech Innovations
Hua Bin • February 7, 2025 • 1,400 Words
As China gets ready for a war with the US in the west Pacific, the pace of military innovations has notably picked up. More weapon systems are being declassified. In the 3 months since I wrote about the many new weapon systems unveiled in the November 2024 Zhuhai Airshow, the biennial premier Chinese military exhibition,...
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Hua Bin • February 1, 2025 • 900 Words
Chinese economy has slowed down significantly since Covid-19 outbreak. The average GDP growth rates for the last 5 years have been between 5 to 6%, down from the previous 5 years between 7-9%. Growth in 2024 was 5%. China’s property market, which accounted for 25-30% of GDP most of the last 2 decades, went through...
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Hua Bin • January 31, 2025 • 1,100 Words
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has sent a shockwave through the US tech industry and Wall Street in the last week. Its LLM R1, trained under $6 million and 2 months, has outperformed the latest offerings from OpenAI, Meta, Google and Microsoft, who have spent tens of billions and years on their models. The DeepSeek...
Read MoreHua Bin • January 25, 2025 • 1,100 Words
There is an arms race going on among the major powers to develop hypersonic missile technology (missiles flying above Mach 5 speed – 6,400 kilometres per hour). Russia’s recent test use of the Oreshnik hypersonic missile in Ukraine was observed with awe. The US has also tested its first hypersonic missile - the Dark Eagle,...
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Hua Bin • January 16, 2025 • 3,700 Words
The US government likes to say that it is in confrontation with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) rather than against the Chinese people. The US Congress often takes pains to label its anti-China legislations as anti-CCP. The controlled media also follows this politically correct approach to describe the US-China competition. I often wonder why. I...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 18, 2024 • 700 Words
China continues to push the boundaries of hypersonic technology. The latest test of the MD-19 – an aircraft dropped from a TB-001 drone and a high altitude balloon in two separate tests, capable of reaching hypersonic speeds and then landing horizontally on a runway – is yet another breakthrough in military aerial technology. The MD-19...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 17, 2024 • 1,300 Words
The Australia-based think tank ASPI recently published its 2024 Critical Technology Tracker, an annual analysis of leading scientific and research innovations in future critical technologies across the world. The report tracks 64 technologies in 8 meta categories ranging from AI, space, defence, quantum, biotech, material science and telecommunications. It focuses on high impact research, defined...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 13, 2024 • 500 Words
There are many interesting arguments about which elite university in the US has done the most damage to the country – some claim Harvard business school have produced the greediest CEOs who have ruined the country’s industrial capitalism; some say Yale is the cradle of deep state actors filled with its Skull and Bones members....
Read MoreHua Bin • December 12, 2024 • 1,000 Words
It seems a good time to continue exploring the Zionist conspiracy as Syria fell unexpectedly last week to terrorist rebels. Israel seems to have scored a major victory. After all, it has been a long-term Israeli ambition to balkanize its major opponents in the region. Since the 1980s, the Israeli military strategist Oded Yinon articulated...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 11, 2024 • 1,300 Words
It is hardly an exaggeration to say a military conflict is a high probability event between China and the US in the coming decade. There are flash points in the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea and the East China Sea. Rhetoric from the American officialdom and media clearly signals the US plans to militarily...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 10, 2024 • 500 Words
The swift fall of Syria raises an uncomfortable question – has the Russian intelligence been asleep at the wheel as the protector of the Syrian state? Why hasn’t Russia reacted more strongly to push back the advances by the terrorists? When Iran was attacked by Israel in the most recent exchange in October, Russia clearly...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 10, 2024 • 1,000 Words
United Healthcare is in the news these days after its CEO was killed by a gunman in New York. The words Delay, Deny, and Depose were inscribed on the bullet casing. Clearly the killing was motivated by a grievance against the company and the industry in general. United Healthcare stands out as a particularly vicious...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 9, 2024 • 1,500 Words
In the last 3 years since the Russia special military operation started in Ukraine, little Britain seems to have a new lease on life in European politics and military posture. It has taken an extremely hawkish stance against Russia – Boris Johnson personally sabotaged the April 2022 peace negotiation between Russia and Ukraine; it has...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 6, 2024 • 1,000 Words
Since the Russian special military operation commenced in 2022, Europe has changed from a reluctant participant of the US-led proxy war to a fervent believer and warmonger. While there is good reason in Poland, the Baltic countries, Czech to harbour historical grudges against the Russians for its past imperial aggressions, it is harder to understand...
Read MoreHard power is what matters in this point in history
Hua Bin • December 6, 2024 • 1,500 Words
I am not sure whether China will hit its 5% growth target this year. The economic outlook is certainly difficult for 2025, probably for some years to come. The global economy is going through a tough patch with geopolitical conflicts, wars, and deglobalization affecting prospects for most countries in the world. Energy transition, pandemics, climate...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 4, 2024 • 800 Words
China’s corruption problem is well known and widely acknowledged by the government. In the last year, China arrested multiple senior military officials including 2 defence ministers and 9 generals in the PLA Rocket Force. Just this week, a senior political officer with a general’s rank in the PLA was arrested for corruption. Also in the...
Read MoreHua Bin • December 3, 2024 • 1,100 Words
After a year of observing the utter criminality and inhumanity of Israel’s actions in the Middle East, I have decided to investigate the origins of its dark national/racial/religious ethos from historical documents. There seems to be numerous sources to draw insights from and there are many interesting analytical perspectives one can take, including – -...
Read MoreAn Islamic "terrorist" group or a zionist foreign legion?
Hua Bin • December 2, 2024 • 400 Words
The infamous Salafi terrorist group ISIS just resurfaced in public consciousness last week in Syria. This is a group that has once terrorized the world with its gruesome killings of hostages and fiery rhetoric about Islamic world domination. It was largely stopped and rolled back when Russia went in to help Syria in 2015. Out...
Read MoreThe transformative leadership of Xi and more to come in the future
Hua Bin • December 2, 2024 • 2,700 Words
Chinese President Xi Jinping has been compared with Chairman Mao and Deng Xiaoping as one of the great leaders in the People’s Republic of China. He fully deserves such accolades. What is said about him in the western mainstream media is irrelevant and meaningless from a Chinese perspective (what do you expect from adversarial sources...
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